Betting Lines
| Spread | SAC -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | SAC -130 NAU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SAC +14 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | SAC -2.2 (+11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.8 (+1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SAC -1.0 (+13.0) | 145.8 (+6.2) | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SAC -0.8 (+13.2) | 147.5 (+4.5) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SAC -0.8 (+13.2) | 144.8 (+7.2) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SAC -0.6 (+13.4) | 145.4 (+6.6) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | NAU 79 – 74 SAC |
| Feb 15, 2025 | NAU 65 – 61 SAC |
| Jan 17, 2025 | NAU 77 – 53 SAC |
| Feb 16, 2024 | NAU 73 – 58 SAC |
| Jan 20, 2024 | NAU 70 – 61 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SAC | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 4-14 |
| Home | 10-4 | 9-7 |
| Away | 0-16 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.6 | 77.6 |
| Massey | -8.9 (#298) | -7.6 (#280) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.01 (#329) | -1.89 (#322) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.76 (#331) | -2.16 (#306) |
| RPI | 0.399 (#338) | 0.380 (#347) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SAC | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.3% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 28.0% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.4% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 29.9% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.8% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 65.6% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.5% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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