Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | UVU -450 UTU +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +13 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | UVU -7.3 (+5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (+16.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -6.7 (+6.3) | 140.8 (+14.2) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -4.2 (+8.8) | 140.7 (+14.3) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -4.4 (+8.6) | 141.1 (+13.9) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -4.9 (+8.1) | 141.9 (+13.1) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | UVU 104 – 101 UTU |
| Feb 13, 2026 | UTU 81 – 77 UVU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UVU 92 – 76 UTU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | UVU 74 – 57 UTU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | UVU 79 – 77 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 7-13 |
| Home | 10-4 | 6-7 |
| Away | 5-10 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 77.3 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#204) | -5.6 (#272) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#197) | -0.53 (#229) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.27 (#200) | -0.66 (#227) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#183) | 0.482 (#204) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 24.4% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.8% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 29.4% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 29.2% |
Game Analysis
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