Betting Lines
| Spread | UK -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Over |
| Money | UK -1200 UGA +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UK +9 | 201 | Won |
| Massey | UK -12.3 (-3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.6 (+37.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UK -10.5 (-1.5) | 163.8 (+37.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UK -10.0 (-1.0) | 159.7 (+41.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UK -10.0 (-1.0) | 161.1 (+39.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UK -10.3 (-1.3) | 164.2 (+36.8) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | UGA 86 – 78 UK |
| Jan 8, 2025 | UGA 82 – 69 UK |
| Feb 11, 2023 | UGA 75 – 68 UK |
| Jan 18, 2023 | UK 85 – 71 UGA |
| Jan 8, 2022 | UK 92 – 77 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UK | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 20-17 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 6-12 |
| Home | 14-4 | 13-6 |
| Away | 7-3 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 89.0 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.7 | 74.7 |
| Massey | 15.2 (#17) | 6.6 (#89) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.41 (#23) | 2.14 (#33) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.02 (#22) | 2.40 (#46) |
| RPI | 0.602 (#31) | 0.608 (#26) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UK | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.6% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 39.3% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.89 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.3% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 12.9% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 30.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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