Betting Lines
| Spread | UK -22.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UK +15 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | UK -24.3 (-9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.7 (+20.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UK -21.7 (-6.7) | 151.2 (+17.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UK -17.8 (-2.8) | 151.8 (+17.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UK -20.2 (-5.2) | 152.2 (+16.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UK -22.0 (-7.0) | 152.0 (+17.0) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | UGA 86 – 78 UK |
| Jan 8, 2025 | UGA 82 – 69 UK |
| Jan 20, 2024 | UK 105 – 96 UGA |
| Feb 11, 2023 | UGA 75 – 68 UK |
| Jan 18, 2023 | UK 85 – 71 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UK | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 6-26 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 1-17 |
| Home | 18-0 | 6-13 |
| Away | 6-5 | 0-10 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L12 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.4 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.6 | 78.5 |
| Massey | 17.7 (#10) | -2.6 (#220) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.09 (#46) | -0.98 (#259) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.20 (#34) | -1.11 (#254) |
| RPI | 0.563 (#72) | 0.450 (#261) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UK | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 44.5 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 14.7 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 42.0% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.1% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 78.1% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.0% | 17.4% |
Game Analysis
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