Betting Lines
| Spread | UK -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | UGA +105 UK -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +13 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | UK -1.7 (+14.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.4 (-8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UGA -1.5 (+11.5) | 153.9 (-2.9) | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UGA -1.6 (+11.4) | 151.4 (-0.4) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -1.3 (+11.7) | 153.0 (-2.0) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -1.4 (+11.6) | 153.9 (-2.9) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | UGA 86 – 78 UK |
| Jan 20, 2024 | UK 105 – 96 UGA |
| Feb 11, 2023 | UGA 75 – 68 UK |
| Jan 18, 2023 | UK 85 – 71 UGA |
| Jan 8, 2022 | UK 92 – 77 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | UK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 10-8 |
| Home | 15-3 | 15-3 |
| Away | 3-7 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 84.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 77.2 |
| Massey | 13.2 (#38) | 19.0 (#12) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.75 (#28) | 3.45 (#13) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.66 (#31) | 4.18 (#18) |
| RPI | 0.595 (#43) | 0.642 (#15) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | UK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 48.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 41.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 2.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 56.6% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 12.4% |
| ORB% | 39.1% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 28.7% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.3% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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