Betting Lines
| Spread | UK -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | UGA +210 UK -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +7 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | UK -4.7 (+11.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.6 (+1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UK -4.1 (+11.1) | 142.4 (+0.6) | 37% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UK -5.8 (+12.8) | 140.6 (+2.4) | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UK -3.6 (+10.6) | 143.7 (-0.7) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UK -4.5 (+11.5) | 142.7 (+0.3) | 35% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | UGA 86 – 78 UK |
| Jan 8, 2025 | UGA 82 – 69 UK |
| Jan 20, 2024 | UK 105 – 96 UGA |
| Jan 18, 2023 | UK 85 – 71 UGA |
| Jan 8, 2022 | UK 92 – 77 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | UK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 12-6 |
| Home | 13-4 | 14-4 |
| Away | 1-10 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 67.8 |
| Massey | 2.1 (#129) | 10.5 (#43) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.68 (#111) | 1.87 (#45) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.04 (#103) | 2.31 (#44) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#151) | 0.572 (#57) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | UK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 37.7% |
| FT Rate | 28.0% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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