Betting Lines
| Spread | LIP -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | LIP -250 UNA +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIP +9 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | LIP -9.7 (-0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.1 (+7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -8.4 (+0.6) | 154.3 (+12.7) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -7.9 (+1.1) | 152.7 (+14.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -7.6 (+1.4) | 154.2 (+12.8) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -8.3 (+0.7) | 156.3 (+10.7) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | LIP 73 – 51 UNA |
| Mar 9, 2025 | LIP 76 – 65 UNA |
| Feb 21, 2025 | LIP 75 – 63 UNA |
| Jan 24, 2025 | UNA 74 – 64 LIP |
| Mar 6, 2024 | UNA 77 – 75 LIP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIP | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 8-8 |
| Home | 12-2 | 10-4 |
| Away | 6-8 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.4 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 77.0 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#153) | -5.3 (#266) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.17 (#161) | -1.73 (#320) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#172) | -1.92 (#311) |
| RPI | 0.504 (#164) | 0.421 (#305) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIP | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 23.5% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.3% | 29.1% |
Game Analysis
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