Betting Lines
| Spread | LIP -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | LIP -340 UNA +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIP +12 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | LIP -6.8 (+5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (-6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -5.7 (+6.3) | 146.9 (-8.9) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -6.7 (+5.3) | 145.3 (-7.3) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -6.0 (+6.0) | 146.2 (-8.2) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -6.1 (+5.9) | 145.3 (-7.3) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | LIP 73 – 51 UNA |
| Mar 9, 2025 | LIP 76 – 65 UNA |
| Jan 24, 2025 | UNA 74 – 64 LIP |
| Mar 6, 2024 | UNA 77 – 75 LIP |
| Feb 16, 2024 | UNA 75 – 70 LIP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIP | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 14-4 |
| Home | 15-3 | 16-1 |
| Away | 10-6 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 77.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 6.2 (#88) | 2.7 (#119) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#131) | 0.32 (#148) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.86 (#108) | 0.39 (#146) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#119) | 0.521 (#140) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIP | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 12.8% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.0% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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