Betting Lines
| Spread | LIP -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | LIP -950 UNA +625 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIP +22 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | LIP -14.8 (+7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.9 (-26.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -11.9 (+10.1) | 148.3 (-24.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -12.1 (+9.9) | 149.0 (-25.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -11.8 (+10.2) | 147.2 (-23.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -11.2 (+10.8) | 148.6 (-24.6) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2025 | LIP 76 – 65 UNA |
| Feb 21, 2025 | LIP 75 – 63 UNA |
| Jan 24, 2025 | UNA 74 – 64 LIP |
| Mar 6, 2024 | UNA 77 – 75 LIP |
| Feb 16, 2024 | UNA 75 – 70 LIP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIP | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 9-21 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 4-14 |
| Home | 13-1 | 5-8 |
| Away | 6-11 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.6 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 78.0 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#185) | -13.1 (#339) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#172) | -2.01 (#332) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#178) | -2.74 (#337) |
| RPI | 0.541 (#88) | 0.408 (#339) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIP | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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