Betting Lines
| Spread | LIP -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | LIP -225 UNA +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIP +11 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | LIP -6.2 (+4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.8 (-4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -5.3 (+5.7) | 146.8 (-5.8) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -5.6 (+5.4) | 145.3 (-4.3) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -6.3 (+4.7) | 146.4 (-5.4) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -5.7 (+5.3) | 148.4 (-7.4) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | LIP 73 – 51 UNA |
| Feb 21, 2025 | LIP 75 – 63 UNA |
| Jan 24, 2025 | UNA 74 – 64 LIP |
| Mar 6, 2024 | UNA 77 – 75 LIP |
| Feb 16, 2024 | UNA 75 – 70 LIP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIP | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 14-4 |
| Home | 15-3 | 16-1 |
| Away | 10-6 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 77.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 6.2 (#90) | 3.3 (#114) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#115) | 0.40 (#136) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.03 (#101) | 0.47 (#136) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#83) | 0.529 (#125) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIP | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.51 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.0% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 12.6% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.7% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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