Betting Lines
| Spread | LIP -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | LIP -300 UNA +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNA +2 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | LIP -8.4 (-10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.3 (-9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -8.6 (-10.6) | 158.1 (-6.1) | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -7.7 (-9.7) | 154.8 (-2.8) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -8.1 (-10.1) | 155.5 (-3.5) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -7.7 (-9.7) | 157.8 (-5.8) | 79% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | LIP 73 – 51 UNA |
| Mar 9, 2025 | LIP 76 – 65 UNA |
| Feb 21, 2025 | LIP 75 – 63 UNA |
| Jan 24, 2025 | UNA 74 – 64 LIP |
| Feb 16, 2024 | UNA 75 – 70 LIP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIP | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 8-8 |
| Home | 12-2 | 10-4 |
| Away | 6-8 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.4 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 77.0 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#162) | -5.0 (#261) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#143) | -0.77 (#259) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.14 (#156) | -0.98 (#260) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#129) | 0.469 (#250) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIP | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 38.2% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.4% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 23.0% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.5% | 29.6% |
Game Analysis
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