Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | AMCC -250 NICH +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +10 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | AMCC -3.3 (+6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.4 (-19.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -3.7 (+6.3) | 143.9 (-15.9) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -2.2 (+7.8) | 143.6 (-15.6) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -2.4 (+7.6) | 145.2 (-17.2) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -2.2 (+7.8) | 146.6 (-18.6) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | AMCC 83 – 76 NICH |
| Dec 30, 2025 | NICH 76 – 71 AMCC |
| Feb 25, 2025 | NICH 71 – 69 AMCC |
| Jan 25, 2025 | AMCC 61 – 57 NICH |
| Mar 13, 2024 | NICH 81 – 73 AMCC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 13-5 |
| Home | 13-2 | 10-2 |
| Away | 8-7 | 8-10 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.9 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -3.9 (#239) | -3.5 (#231) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#242) | -0.46 (#222) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.08 (#258) | -0.68 (#229) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#252) | 0.482 (#205) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 27.6% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.8 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.6% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 64.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 39.8% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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