Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCG -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | UNCG -250 WOF +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCG +23 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | UNCG -7.3 (+15.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.6 (-9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCG -6.4 (+16.6) | 143.5 (-2.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCG -5.9 (+17.1) | 144.4 (-3.4) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCG -6.0 (+17.0) | 145.2 (-4.2) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCG -6.6 (+16.4) | 145.2 (-4.2) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UNCG 75 – 72 WOF |
| Feb 14, 2026 | UNCG 99 – 89 WOF |
| Jan 7, 2026 | WOF 97 – 85 UNCG |
| Feb 1, 2025 | WOF 74 – 62 UNCG |
| Jan 1, 2025 | UNCG 68 – 66 WOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCG | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-3 | 11-2 |
| Away | 7-7 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 1.8 (#139) | -1.8 (#200) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.96 (#98) | 0.21 (#153) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.13 (#106) | -0.15 (#187) |
| RPI | 0.560 (#87) | 0.503 (#168) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCG | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.9% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 17.2% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 13.1% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 75.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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