Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | UNCG +114 WOF -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCG +10 | 188 | Won |
| Massey | WOF -3.1 (+13.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.3 (+28.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -2.0 (+12.0) | 150.9 (+37.1) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -2.0 (+12.0) | 150.0 (+38.0) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -2.4 (+12.4) | 151.3 (+36.7) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -1.7 (+11.7) | 151.8 (+36.2) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UNCG 75 – 72 WOF |
| Jan 7, 2026 | WOF 97 – 85 UNCG |
| Feb 1, 2025 | WOF 74 – 62 UNCG |
| Jan 1, 2025 | UNCG 68 – 66 WOF |
| Feb 18, 2024 | UNCG 58 – 47 WOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCG | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 11-7 |
| Home | 8-6 | 10-5 |
| Away | 4-9 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 78.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.9 | 78.6 |
| Massey | -9.9 (#306) | -3.8 (#225) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.33 (#288) | -0.17 (#191) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.82 (#291) | -0.61 (#215) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#269) | 0.499 (#187) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCG | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 13.7% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 29.5% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.8% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.3% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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