Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | WOF -145 UNCG +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCG +2 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | WOF -2.8 (-4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.0 (+4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -1.6 (-3.6) | 134.9 (-0.9) | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -1.3 (-3.3) | 136.1 (-2.1) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -1.5 (-3.5) | 134.6 (-0.6) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -0.7 (-2.7) | 135.7 (-1.7) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UNCG 75 – 72 WOF |
| Feb 14, 2026 | UNCG 99 – 89 WOF |
| Jan 7, 2026 | WOF 97 – 85 UNCG |
| Feb 1, 2025 | WOF 74 – 62 UNCG |
| Feb 18, 2024 | UNCG 58 – 47 WOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WOF | UNCG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 13-5 |
| Home | 7-6 | 11-3 |
| Away | 8-8 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 67.3 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#151) | 1.7 (#130) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.04 (#174) | -0.29 (#192) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.19 (#151) | -0.32 (#188) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#148) | 0.504 (#159) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WOF | UNCG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 14.1% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.