Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | WOF -205 UNCG +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCG +3 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | WOF -4.6 (-7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.4 (-14.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -3.2 (-6.2) | 154.9 (-7.9) | 71% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | WOF -4.5 (-7.5) | 152.4 (-5.4) | 68% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | WOF -4.3 (-7.3) | 152.9 (-5.9) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -3.8 (-6.8) | 152.7 (-5.7) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | UNCG 99 – 89 WOF |
| Jan 7, 2026 | WOF 97 – 85 UNCG |
| Feb 1, 2025 | WOF 74 – 62 UNCG |
| Jan 1, 2025 | UNCG 68 – 66 WOF |
| Feb 18, 2024 | UNCG 58 – 47 WOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WOF | UNCG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-5 | 8-6 |
| Away | 9-7 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.4 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 81.9 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#247) | -9.7 (#308) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#216) | -1.23 (#276) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.84 (#233) | -1.68 (#284) |
| RPI | 0.487 (#214) | 0.454 (#271) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WOF | UNCG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 13.7% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 29.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 56.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 13.7% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.6% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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