Betting Lines
| Spread | NAVY -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
| Money | NAVY -213 ARMY +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NAVY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NAVY +4 | 110 | Won |
| Massey | NAVY -8.6 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 120.7 (-10.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NAVY -6.9 (-2.9) | 126.2 (-16.2) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NAVY -4.8 (-0.8) | 127.8 (-17.8) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NAVY -5.6 (-1.6) | 126.9 (-16.9) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NAVY -5.7 (-1.7) | 126.5 (-16.5) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | NAVY 81 – 63 ARMY |
| Jan 24, 2026 | NAVY 84 – 56 ARMY |
| Feb 15, 2025 | NAVY 61 – 54 ARMY |
| Jan 26, 2025 | NAVY 66 – 53 ARMY |
| Feb 10, 2024 | ARMY 69 – 67 NAVY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NAVY | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 6-12 |
| Home | 10-5 | 6-11 |
| Away | 3-13 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 59.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 65.7 |
| Massey | -6.1 (#278) | -10.9 (#326) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.62 (#315) | -2.89 (#351) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.13 (#315) | -3.37 (#347) |
| RPI | 0.400 (#328) | 0.351 (#361) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NAVY | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.5% | 38.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.1% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.3% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 14.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.3% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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