Betting Lines
| Spread | SDSU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | BOIS -111 SDSU -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +1 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | SDSU -0.2 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.9 (-4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -1.1 (-0.1) | 134.5 (-1.5) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -1.6 (-0.6) | 135.8 (-2.8) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -1.6 (-0.6) | 136.5 (-3.5) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -1.4 (-0.4) | 135.8 (-2.8) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | BOIS 86 – 77 SDSU |
| Jan 4, 2026 | SDSU 110 – 107 BOIS |
| Mar 13, 2025 | BOIS 62 – 52 SDSU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | SDSU 64 – 47 BOIS |
| Jan 4, 2025 | SDSU 76 – 68 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | SDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 26-11 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 11-7 |
| Home | 13-3 | 14-1 |
| Away | 7-3 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 2-5 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 9.4 (#54) | 13.3 (#28) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.68 (#56) | 2.90 (#10) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.10 (#61) | 3.37 (#12) |
| RPI | 0.593 (#46) | 0.670 (#4) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | SDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 29.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 76.0% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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