Betting Lines
| Spread | RID -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | RID -138 NIA +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NIA +4 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | RID -3.0 (-7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.9 (-3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RID -0.1 (-4.1) | 152.1 (-0.1) | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RID -1.6 (-5.6) | 149.5 (+2.5) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RID -1.0 (-5.0) | 150.1 (+1.9) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RID -1.2 (-5.2) | 151.8 (+0.2) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | RID 67 – 62 NIA |
| Mar 8, 2025 | RID 77 – 76 NIA |
| Jan 12, 2025 | RID 68 – 65 NIA |
| Mar 2, 2024 | RID 71 – 61 NIA |
| Jan 21, 2023 | RID 65 – 62 NIA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 11-9 |
| Home | 9-4 | 5-9 |
| Away | 6-12 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -7.2 (#290) | -6.5 (#283) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.36 (#299) | -1.24 (#286) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.77 (#303) | -1.64 (#297) |
| RPI | 0.429 (#294) | 0.431 (#292) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 38.2% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.4% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 33.4% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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