Betting Lines
| Spread | RID -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | RID -175 NIA +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RID +1 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | RID -3.9 (-2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.2 (+16.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RID -3.0 (-2.0) | 135.1 (+17.9) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RID -2.9 (-1.9) | 137.3 (+15.7) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RID -2.9 (-1.9) | 137.2 (+15.8) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RID -3.1 (-2.1) | 138.6 (+14.4) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | RID 67 – 62 NIA |
| Jan 12, 2025 | RID 68 – 65 NIA |
| Mar 2, 2024 | RID 71 – 61 NIA |
| Jan 20, 2024 | NIA 78 – 74 RID |
| Jan 21, 2023 | RID 65 – 62 NIA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 6-14 |
| Home | 5-7 | 6-7 |
| Away | 8-11 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 71.6 |
| Massey | -8.8 (#307) | -9.5 (#316) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.20 (#277) | -1.57 (#311) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.75 (#294) | -2.15 (#319) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#286) | 0.438 (#301) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 23.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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