Betting Lines
| Spread | NIA -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | RID +102 NIA -122 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RID +5 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | RID -0.0 (+5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.1 (-0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NIA -0.3 (+5.3) | 129.6 (-0.6) | 39% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RID -0.4 (+4.6) | 128.8 (+0.2) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NIA -0.4 (+5.4) | 128.7 (+0.3) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NIA -0.7 (+5.7) | 129.0 (+0.0) | 34% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2025 | RID 77 – 76 NIA |
| Jan 12, 2025 | RID 68 – 65 NIA |
| Mar 2, 2024 | RID 71 – 61 NIA |
| Jan 20, 2024 | NIA 78 – 74 RID |
| Jan 21, 2023 | RID 65 – 62 NIA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-25 | 8-22 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 5-15 |
| Home | 4-9 | 6-7 |
| Away | 0-16 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.6 | 63.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -16.6 (#355) | -13.7 (#343) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.34 (#359) | -2.27 (#343) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.26 (#361) | -2.94 (#342) |
| RPI | 0.394 (#352) | 0.417 (#331) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 28.1% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 28.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.9% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 66.1% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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