Betting Lines
| Spread | RID -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | RID -225 NIA +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RID +3 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | RID -6.9 (-3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.2 (-1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RID -4.5 (-1.5) | 127.7 (-0.7) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RID -4.2 (-1.2) | 129.6 (-2.6) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RID -3.9 (-0.9) | 130.5 (-3.5) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RID -4.2 (-1.2) | 130.8 (-3.8) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | RID 67 – 62 NIA |
| Mar 8, 2025 | RID 77 – 76 NIA |
| Jan 12, 2025 | RID 68 – 65 NIA |
| Mar 2, 2024 | RID 71 – 61 NIA |
| Jan 20, 2024 | NIA 78 – 74 RID |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-14 | 16-15 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 10-10 |
| Home | 8-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 8-6 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 64.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 66.4 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#194) | -4.3 (#244) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#228) | -0.60 (#229) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#226) | -0.98 (#249) |
| RPI | 0.481 (#210) | 0.473 (#227) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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