Betting Lines
| Spread | NIA -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | NIA -120 RID +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RID +10 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | NIA -3.0 (-13.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.7 (-19.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NIA -1.3 (-11.3) | 147.5 (-15.5) | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NIA -1.2 (-11.2) | 145.3 (-13.3) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NIA -1.1 (-11.1) | 145.6 (-13.6) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NIA -1.9 (-11.9) | 147.0 (-15.0) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | RID 67 – 62 NIA |
| Mar 8, 2025 | RID 77 – 76 NIA |
| Jan 12, 2025 | RID 68 – 65 NIA |
| Jan 20, 2024 | NIA 78 – 74 RID |
| Jan 21, 2023 | RID 65 – 62 NIA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIA | RID |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 12-8 |
| Home | 5-9 | 9-4 |
| Away | 10-6 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#244) | -3.8 (#237) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#241) | -0.93 (#273) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.86 (#249) | -1.17 (#276) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#246) | 0.474 (#231) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIA | RID |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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