Betting Lines
| Spread | NIA -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | NIA -260 RID +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RID +3 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | NIA -7.7 (-10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.6 (-1.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NIA -5.1 (-8.1) | 134.6 (-1.6) | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NIA -4.4 (-7.4) | 134.7 (-1.7) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NIA -5.0 (-8.0) | 134.6 (-1.6) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NIA -5.8 (-8.8) | 134.7 (-1.7) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | RID 67 – 62 NIA |
| Mar 8, 2025 | RID 77 – 76 NIA |
| Mar 2, 2024 | RID 71 – 61 NIA |
| Jan 20, 2024 | NIA 78 – 74 RID |
| Jan 21, 2023 | RID 65 – 62 NIA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIA | RID |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 9-11 |
| Home | 6-7 | 5-7 |
| Away | 3-13 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 67.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 71.8 |
| Massey | -7.1 (#281) | -10.9 (#330) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.88 (#245) | -2.05 (#328) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.53 (#283) | -2.87 (#335) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#254) | 0.394 (#337) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIA | RID |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 28.4% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 35.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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