Well you know that it's a shame and a pity you were raised up in the city / And you never learned nothing about country ways "Not So Sweet Martha Lorraine" - Country Joe and the Fish
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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39–19 on winners spread MAE 9.0 58 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
South Florida @ Memphis +11.4 155.3 84% 74–73 ✗
Wichita State @ Florida Atlantic +14.9 151.6 88% 77–86 ✓
UNC Asheville @ Winthrop +4.2 150.7 73% 82–77 ✗
Towson @ Charleston +8.2 138.9 75% 82–78 ✗
Stony Brook @ Delaware +7.9 143.9 80% 68–71 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Elon -6.5 147.1 23% 82–70 ✓
Northeastern @ North Carolina A&T -4.5 143.4 43% 65–72 ✗
Monmouth @ Drexel +8.2 137.0 80% 74–78 ✓
Hampton @ Hofstra +19.1 146.5 90% 77–86 ✓
Campbell @ William & Mary +2.2 135.4 54% 77–64 ✗
Milwaukee @ Northern Kentucky +2.6 153.6 65% 72–90 ✓
Green Bay @ Wright State +5.8 147.9 67% 88–81 ✗
Marshall @ Old Dominion -0.2 150.5 44% 66–91 ✗
Coastal Carolina @ Georgia Southern +0.7 148.8 63% 70–73 ✓
New Hampshire @ NJIT -6.8 149.5 25% 70–62 ✓
Maine @ UMBC -2.0 145.1 34% 65–70 ✗
UMass Lowell @ UAlbany -1.8 151.4 42% 97–76 ✓
Queens University @ Jacksonville +0.9 153.3 57% 77–79 ✓
Kennesaw State @ North Florida -0.2 157.4 48% 75–84 ✗
Florida International @ Liberty +12.7 143.2 85% 69–78 ✓
UT Martin @ Morehead State +9.6 150.1 82% 66–84 ✓
Seattle U @ Stephen F. Austin +1.7 139.1 70% 84–89 ✓
Troy @ South Alabama -2.2 149.2 36% 71–74 ✗
UL Monroe @ James Madison +19.1 145.2 90% 70–89 ✓
St. Thomas-Minnesota @ South Dakota -8.0 139.2 23% 73–74 ✗
Oral Roberts @ North Dakota -3.1 149.9 48% 77–87 ✗
Omaha @ South Dakota State +6.7 145.0 73% 87–90 ✓
Denver @ North Dakota State -2.2 159.3 47% 78–70 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Lipscomb +14.3 154.3 87% 96–86 ✗
North Alabama @ Austin Peay +2.7 139.8 63% 80–83 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ UT Arlington +9.0 154.9 83% 73–91 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Tarleton State +6.0 139.2 74% 71–79 ✓
Sacramento State @ Northern Colorado +5.7 145.7 76% 75–77 ✓
Portland State @ Northern Arizona -4.8 140.0 36% 65–84 ✗
Illinois @ Michigan -5.2 151.2 29% 88–73 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Tennessee State +6.4 141.8 72% 53–85 ✓
Little Rock @ Southern Indiana -3.3 149.2 36% 77–75 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Lindenwood -4.6 133.3 27% 78–59 ✓
Utah Tech @ Southern Utah +2.8 151.7 66% 65–75 ✓
Oregon State @ Utah +15.6 151.2 88% 47–74 ✓
Washington @ California -2.6 158.1 39% 77–75 ✓
Utah Valley @ Grand Canyon +12.2 139.3 87% 65–78 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ UTEP +4.6 127.5 71% 59–73 ✓
Western Kentucky @ New Mexico State -2.1 141.1 37% 70–72 ✗
Idaho @ Idaho State +3.7 133.8 59% 59–64 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Weber State +3.5 143.1 56% 80–78 ✗
Santa Clara @ Pacific -14.7 143.4 14% 88–69 ✓
Gonzaga @ Pepperdine -9.5 147.9 18% 86–61 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Cal State Northridge +3.0 148.6 58% 97–69 ✗
Hawai'i @ Long Beach State +2.0 142.8 62% 71–79 ✓
UC Riverside @ Cal State Bakersfield -0.6 134.6 47% 56–80 ✗
UC Davis @ Cal State Fullerton -1.8 134.0 40% 67–65 ✓
UC San Diego @ UC Irvine +7.8 138.9 78% 65–76 ✓
Oregon @ Colorado +5.9 145.7 69% 70–86 ✓
Washington State @ Stanford +0.2 147.0 46% 89–75 ✗
Loyola Marymount @ San Francisco +11.9 138.7 87% 74–90 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Stonehill -1.7 146.9 36% 76–69 ✓
Georgetown @ Xavier +14.6 147.2 89% 91–92 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.