Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | FAU -1600 WICH +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +9 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | FAU -17.3 (-8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.2 (+8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -14.1 (-5.1) | 152.7 (+10.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | FAU -14.9 (-5.9) | 151.6 (+11.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | FAU -12.9 (-3.9) | 149.8 (+13.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -13.6 (-4.6) | 150.3 (+12.7) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | WICH 88 – 70 FAU |
| Jan 16, 2026 | FAU 85 – 67 WICH |
| Feb 21, 2025 | WICH 75 – 68 FAU |
| Feb 11, 2024 | FAU 95 – 82 WICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAU | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 5-13 |
| Home | 13-1 | 10-5 |
| Away | 5-5 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 3-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.0 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 73.3 |
| Massey | 13.9 (#22) | 0.4 (#161) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.96 (#45) | 0.31 (#145) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.39 (#48) | 0.34 (#155) |
| RPI | 0.618 (#20) | 0.522 (#135) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAU | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 40.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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