Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | WICH -380 FAU +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +18 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | WICH -6.5 (+11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.6 (+5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -6.5 (+11.5) | 149.4 (+8.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | WICH -6.0 (+12.0) | 149.2 (+8.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | WICH -6.5 (+11.5) | 147.3 (+10.7) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -6.0 (+12.0) | 149.4 (+8.6) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2026 | FAU 85 – 67 WICH |
| Feb 21, 2025 | WICH 75 – 68 FAU |
| Feb 11, 2024 | FAU 95 – 82 WICH |
| Jan 19, 2024 | FAU 86 – 77 WICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 9-9 |
| Home | 15-3 | 11-4 |
| Away | 8-5 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.6 | 77.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 7.1 (#86) | 3.6 (#113) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.91 (#96) | 0.35 (#132) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#96) | 0.65 (#122) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#85) | 0.532 (#109) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 41.2 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.9 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 38.6% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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