Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | FAU -185 WICH +154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +18 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | FAU -3.5 (+14.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.4 (-4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -2.8 (+15.2) | 149.2 (+2.8) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -4.2 (+13.8) | 148.8 (+3.2) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -4.2 (+13.8) | 150.1 (+1.9) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -3.7 (+14.3) | 149.8 (+2.2) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | WICH 88 – 70 FAU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | WICH 75 – 68 FAU |
| Feb 11, 2024 | FAU 95 – 82 WICH |
| Jan 19, 2024 | FAU 86 – 77 WICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAU | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 13-5 |
| Home | 11-4 | 15-3 |
| Away | 4-9 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 77.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 70.8 |
| Massey | 6.9 (#92) | 6.9 (#91) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.12 (#90) | 0.15 (#160) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.49 (#90) | 0.49 (#136) |
| RPI | 0.582 (#50) | 0.506 (#162) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAU | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 40.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 14.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 40.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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