Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | WICH +250 FAU -350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +13 | 177 | Lost |
| Massey | FAU -8.8 (-4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.3 (+25.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -7.8 (-5.2) | 147.6 (+29.4) | 24% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | FAU -8.6 (-4.4) | 147.1 (+29.9) | 21% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | FAU -7.0 (-6.0) | 146.5 (+30.5) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -7.3 (-5.7) | 147.6 (+29.4) | 23% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | WICH 88 – 70 FAU |
| Jan 16, 2026 | FAU 85 – 67 WICH |
| Feb 21, 2025 | WICH 75 – 68 FAU |
| Jan 19, 2024 | FAU 86 – 77 WICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 25-9 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 14-4 |
| Home | 10-5 | 13-1 |
| Away | 2-9 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 7-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 82.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#151) | 13.2 (#28) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#185) | 2.07 (#37) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.03 (#172) | 2.45 (#38) |
| RPI | 0.494 (#186) | 0.609 (#23) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 34.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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