Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | UCI -275 UCSD +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +11 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | UCI -8.0 (+3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.2 (+1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -7.8 (+3.2) | 138.9 (+2.1) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -7.0 (+4.0) | 137.8 (+3.2) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -6.9 (+4.1) | 138.9 (+2.1) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -6.0 (+5.0) | 139.8 (+1.2) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | UCSD 71 – 69 UCI |
| Jan 25, 2026 | UCI 61 – 59 UCSD |
| Mar 16, 2025 | UCSD 75 – 61 UCI |
| Feb 9, 2025 | UCSD 85 – 67 UCI |
| Jan 12, 2025 | UCI 60 – 52 UCSD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 15-5 |
| Home | 13-0 | 14-2 |
| Away | 8-9 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 8.5 (#67) | 4.2 (#109) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.43 (#72) | 0.28 (#148) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.71 (#79) | 0.54 (#139) |
| RPI | 0.576 (#58) | 0.503 (#166) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.4% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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