Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | UCI -185 UCSD +154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSD +2 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | UCI -3.6 (-5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.1 (+2.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -3.5 (-5.5) | 139.3 (+0.7) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -3.5 (-5.5) | 135.2 (+4.8) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -3.8 (-5.8) | 135.6 (+4.4) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -4.0 (-6.0) | 139.5 (+0.5) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2026 | UCI 61 – 59 UCSD |
| Mar 16, 2025 | UCSD 75 – 61 UCI |
| Feb 9, 2025 | UCSD 85 – 67 UCI |
| Jan 12, 2025 | UCI 60 – 52 UCSD |
| Feb 24, 2024 | UCSD 92 – 88 UCI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 12-8 |
| Home | 12-5 | 10-5 |
| Away | 7-5 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 70.5 |
| Massey | 3.5 (#118) | 2.9 (#126) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#117) | 0.45 (#122) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.68 (#115) | 0.65 (#117) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#84) | 0.524 (#120) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.4% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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