Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSD -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | UCSD -250 UCI +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +8 | 112 | Lost |
| Massey | UCSD -4.8 (-12.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.5 (-26.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSD -4.0 (-12.0) | 140.5 (-28.5) | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSD -3.5 (-11.5) | 140.2 (-28.2) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSD -4.2 (-12.2) | 140.6 (-28.6) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCSD -3.9 (-11.9) | 141.7 (-29.7) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | UCSD 71 – 69 UCI |
| Jan 25, 2026 | UCI 61 – 59 UCSD |
| Mar 16, 2025 | UCSD 75 – 61 UCI |
| Feb 9, 2025 | UCSD 85 – 67 UCI |
| Feb 24, 2024 | UCSD 92 – 88 UCI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSD | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-5 | 32-7 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 17-3 |
| Home | 13-2 | 13-2 |
| Away | 12-2 | 14-3 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.5 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.0 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 11.4 (#49) | 10.5 (#57) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.45 (#35) | 2.48 (#33) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.23 (#59) | 2.71 (#50) |
| RPI | 0.568 (#67) | 0.620 (#27) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSD | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 28.8% | 31.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.7% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 75.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 14.7% |
Game Analysis
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