Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSD -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | UCSD -148 UCI +124 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +2 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | UCSD -5.6 (-7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.7 (-22.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSD -4.9 (-6.9) | 144.3 (-24.3) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSD -5.9 (-7.9) | 144.3 (-24.3) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSD -4.9 (-6.9) | 140.2 (-20.2) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCSD -5.3 (-7.3) | 140.7 (-20.7) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | UCSD 71 – 69 UCI |
| Mar 16, 2025 | UCSD 75 – 61 UCI |
| Feb 9, 2025 | UCSD 85 – 67 UCI |
| Jan 12, 2025 | UCI 60 – 52 UCSD |
| Feb 24, 2024 | UCSD 92 – 88 UCI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSD | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 15-5 |
| Home | 10-5 | 12-5 |
| Away | 8-5 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 69.4 |
| Massey | 5.1 (#103) | 2.8 (#124) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.98 (#93) | 0.37 (#132) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.29 (#91) | 0.60 (#123) |
| RPI | 0.548 (#87) | 0.527 (#120) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSD | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 44.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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