Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSD -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | UCSD -215 UCI +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSD +14 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | UCSD -3.8 (+10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.8 (+0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSD -2.5 (+11.5) | 137.2 (-1.2) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSD -2.4 (+11.6) | 137.0 (-1.0) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSD -2.7 (+11.3) | 136.7 (-0.7) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCSD -2.3 (+11.7) | 135.8 (+0.2) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | UCSD 71 – 69 UCI |
| Jan 25, 2026 | UCI 61 – 59 UCSD |
| Feb 9, 2025 | UCSD 85 – 67 UCI |
| Jan 12, 2025 | UCI 60 – 52 UCSD |
| Feb 24, 2024 | UCSD 92 – 88 UCI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSD | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-5 | 32-7 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 17-3 |
| Home | 13-2 | 13-2 |
| Away | 12-2 | 14-3 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.5 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.0 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 13.0 (#41) | 9.2 (#63) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.45 (#36) | 2.21 (#43) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.60 (#48) | 2.27 (#56) |
| RPI | 0.581 (#40) | 0.600 (#22) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSD | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.70 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 13.2% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 29.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 45.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.5% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 15.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.