Betting Lines
| Spread | ORU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | UND +120 ORU -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UND win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UND +10 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | ORU -2.8 (+12.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.1 (+12.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORU -1.2 (+11.2) | 151.5 (+12.5) | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORU -3.1 (+13.1) | 149.9 (+14.1) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORU -1.5 (+11.5) | 148.4 (+15.6) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ORU -1.8 (+11.8) | 150.0 (+14.0) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | UND 79 – 62 ORU |
| Jan 1, 2026 | UND 72 – 61 ORU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | UND 88 – 77 ORU |
| Jan 12, 2025 | ORU 83 – 79 UND |
| Feb 18, 2024 | UND 78 – 65 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UND | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 5-11 |
| Home | 9-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 7-8 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 77.0 |
| Massey | -8.4 (#305) | -1.8 (#201) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.91 (#262) | -0.66 (#239) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.21 (#267) | -0.83 (#238) |
| RPI | 0.434 (#288) | 0.468 (#235) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UND | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 29.8% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 7.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 13.7% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 20.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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