Betting Lines
| Spread | UND -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
| Money | ORU +120 UND -140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +4 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | UND -1.5 (+5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.6 (-2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UND -2.1 (+6.1) | 155.8 (+6.2) | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UND -2.4 (+6.4) | 155.1 (+6.9) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UND -2.1 (+6.1) | 157.7 (+4.3) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UND -2.3 (+6.3) | 156.8 (+5.2) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | UND 79 – 62 ORU |
| Jan 1, 2026 | UND 72 – 61 ORU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | UND 88 – 77 ORU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | UND 78 – 65 ORU |
| Jan 19, 2024 | UND 87 – 77 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORU | UND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-23 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 3-13 | 5-11 |
| Home | 7-7 | 9-6 |
| Away | 0-15 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.0 | 82.2 |
| Massey | -11.0 (#332) | -5.7 (#262) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.38 (#339) | -1.32 (#293) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.79 (#331) | -1.84 (#299) |
| RPI | 0.395 (#335) | 0.413 (#321) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORU | UND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 27.9 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 14.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 36.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.0% | 57.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 62.9% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.9% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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