Betting Lines
| Spread | ORU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | ORU -122 UND +102 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UND +17 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | ORU -3.9 (-20.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.9 (-10.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORU -1.6 (-18.6) | 147.3 (-6.3) | 62% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORU -0.7 (-17.7) | 146.8 (-5.8) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORU -1.6 (-18.6) | 146.2 (-5.2) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ORU -1.8 (-18.8) | 147.1 (-6.1) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 1, 2026 | UND 72 – 61 ORU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | UND 88 – 77 ORU |
| Jan 12, 2025 | ORU 83 – 79 UND |
| Feb 18, 2024 | UND 78 – 65 ORU |
| Jan 19, 2024 | UND 87 – 77 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORU | UND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-23 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 10-6 |
| Home | 7-8 | 9-7 |
| Away | 1-13 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.7 | 79.6 |
| Massey | -8.3 (#292) | -9.0 (#299) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.99 (#332) | -1.29 (#283) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.39 (#320) | -1.73 (#286) |
| RPI | 0.410 (#333) | 0.443 (#280) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORU | UND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 57.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 64.6% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.7% | 33.2% |
Game Analysis
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