Betting Lines
| Spread | ORU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | ORU -138 UND +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UND +13 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | ORU -3.9 (-16.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.9 (-6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORU -1.8 (-14.8) | 150.4 (-7.4) | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORU -2.7 (-15.7) | 146.4 (-3.4) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORU -1.6 (-14.6) | 149.4 (-6.4) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ORU -1.8 (-14.8) | 150.5 (-7.5) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | UND 79 – 62 ORU |
| Jan 1, 2026 | UND 72 – 61 ORU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | UND 88 – 77 ORU |
| Jan 12, 2025 | ORU 83 – 79 UND |
| Jan 19, 2024 | UND 87 – 77 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORU | UND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 10-6 |
| Home | 9-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 2-13 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 74.0 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#240) | -4.7 (#258) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.83 (#258) | -0.46 (#215) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.07 (#261) | -0.62 (#220) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#270) | 0.467 (#243) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORU | UND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 20.9% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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