Betting Lines
| Spread | UND -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | UND -130 ORU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UND win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UND +11 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | UND -0.5 (+10.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.8 (-13.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UND -1.1 (+9.9) | 140.6 (-7.6) | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UND -1.5 (+9.5) | 141.7 (-8.7) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UND -0.3 (+10.7) | 139.4 (-6.4) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORU -0.3 (+11.3) | 140.4 (-7.4) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | UND 79 – 62 ORU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | UND 88 – 77 ORU |
| Jan 12, 2025 | ORU 83 – 79 UND |
| Feb 18, 2024 | UND 78 – 65 ORU |
| Jan 19, 2024 | UND 87 – 77 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UND | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 4-12 |
| Home | 9-7 | 7-8 |
| Away | 7-8 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.6 | 79.7 |
| Massey | -10.6 (#319) | -7.2 (#280) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.76 (#310) | -1.29 (#279) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.58 (#317) | -1.50 (#261) |
| RPI | 0.441 (#282) | 0.440 (#284) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UND | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 28.9% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 28.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.1% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 64.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.1% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
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