Betting Lines
| Spread | UND -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | UND -250 ORU +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UND win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UND +11 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | UND -5.8 (+5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.9 (+2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UND -4.4 (+6.6) | 155.2 (+9.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UND -5.1 (+5.9) | 154.9 (+10.1) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UND -4.6 (+6.4) | 153.7 (+11.3) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UND -4.4 (+6.6) | 155.2 (+9.8) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | UND 79 – 62 ORU |
| Jan 1, 2026 | UND 72 – 61 ORU |
| Jan 12, 2025 | ORU 83 – 79 UND |
| Feb 18, 2024 | UND 78 – 65 ORU |
| Jan 19, 2024 | UND 87 – 77 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UND | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 7-23 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 3-13 |
| Home | 9-6 | 7-7 |
| Away | 2-12 | 0-15 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.2 | 82.0 |
| Massey | -6.8 (#275) | -9.5 (#313) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.60 (#311) | -2.33 (#338) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.95 (#308) | -2.58 (#330) |
| RPI | 0.421 (#319) | 0.391 (#346) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UND | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 29.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.6 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.8% | 56.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 30.5% |
Game Analysis
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