Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | UTAH -1600 ORST +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +27 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -18.4 (+8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.8 (-29.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -15.6 (+11.4) | 151.2 (-30.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -14.8 (+12.2) | 148.8 (-27.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -16.0 (+11.0) | 150.7 (-29.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -15.9 (+11.1) | 151.0 (-30.0) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2024 | ORST 92 – 85 UTAH |
| Jan 27, 2023 | UTAH 63 – 44 ORST |
| Jan 6, 2023 | UTAH 79 – 60 ORST |
| Feb 4, 2022 | UTAH 84 – 59 ORST |
| Dec 31, 2021 | ORST 88 – 76 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-15 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 5-15 |
| Home | 17-2 | 12-6 |
| Away | 2-9 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 73.5 |
| Massey | 15.1 (#17) | 0.4 (#160) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.95 (#46) | 0.16 (#163) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.44 (#42) | 0.25 (#161) |
| RPI | 0.597 (#39) | 0.496 (#181) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.9% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.56 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 28.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.6% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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