Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | ORST +250 UTAH -350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +19 | 107 | Lost |
| Massey | UTAH -8.7 (-10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.5 (-19.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -7.6 (-11.4) | 130.0 (-23.0) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -7.5 (-11.5) | 130.1 (-23.1) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -8.1 (-10.9) | 130.4 (-23.4) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -7.6 (-11.4) | 130.1 (-23.1) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2024 | ORST 92 – 85 UTAH |
| Jan 19, 2024 | UTAH 74 – 47 ORST |
| Jan 6, 2023 | UTAH 79 – 60 ORST |
| Feb 4, 2022 | UTAH 84 – 59 ORST |
| Dec 31, 2021 | ORST 88 – 76 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORST | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 10-10 |
| Home | 10-7 | 12-6 |
| Away | 1-10 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.5 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 63.8 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#203) | 10.7 (#36) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#215) | 1.15 (#82) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.56 (#216) | 1.48 (#79) |
| RPI | 0.465 (#244) | 0.527 (#134) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORST | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 30.3 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 23.2% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 42.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 16.3% |
Game Analysis
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