Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | ORST +225 UTAH -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORST +7 | 177 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -8.3 (+15.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.0 (+31.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -8.4 (+15.4) | 145.4 (+31.6) | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -6.2 (+13.2) | 144.9 (+32.1) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -6.6 (+13.6) | 145.4 (+31.6) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -7.3 (+14.3) | 145.7 (+31.3) | 29% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 19, 2024 | UTAH 74 – 47 ORST |
| Jan 27, 2023 | UTAH 63 – 44 ORST |
| Jan 6, 2023 | UTAH 79 – 60 ORST |
| Feb 4, 2022 | UTAH 84 – 59 ORST |
| Dec 31, 2021 | ORST 88 – 76 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORST | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 22-15 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 9-11 |
| Home | 12-6 | 17-2 |
| Away | 1-9 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 73.2 |
| Massey | 0.8 (#156) | 12.4 (#36) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#146) | 1.55 (#66) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#143) | 1.84 (#66) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#203) | 0.562 (#67) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORST | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 17.0% |
Game Analysis
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