Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | UTAH -1400 ORST +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +19 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -18.8 (+0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.9 (+14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -15.2 (+3.8) | 132.0 (+7.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -14.3 (+4.7) | 132.5 (+6.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -14.9 (+4.1) | 132.4 (+6.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -14.6 (+4.4) | 131.6 (+7.4) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2024 | ORST 92 – 85 UTAH |
| Jan 19, 2024 | UTAH 74 – 47 ORST |
| Jan 27, 2023 | UTAH 63 – 44 ORST |
| Feb 4, 2022 | UTAH 84 – 59 ORST |
| Dec 31, 2021 | ORST 88 – 76 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 5-15 |
| Home | 12-6 | 10-7 |
| Away | 4-7 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 60.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.8 | 67.0 |
| Massey | 11.7 (#32) | -2.8 (#222) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.63 (#61) | -0.35 (#209) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.22 (#60) | -0.76 (#230) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#103) | 0.459 (#246) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 41.7 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 30.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.8% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.0% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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