You know he knows just exactly what the facts is. "Take the Money and Run" - The Steve Miller Band
Oregon State Beavers
88 76
FINAL Conference
Utah Utes
Pac-12 Conference · Gill Coliseum · December 31, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread UTAH -3.0 Home covered
O/U 139.5 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total ORST win
Actual ORST +12 164 Won
Massey UTAH -5.1 (+17.1)
Massey Totals 140.7 (+23.3)
Bradley-Terry 13%
Weighted B-T 12%
Efficiency Plus ML UTAH -5.0 (+17.0) 140.0 (+24.0) 32%
Baseline Tuned ML UTAH -5.7 (+17.7) 142.4 (+21.6) 29%
Baseline ML UTAH -5.9 (+17.9) 142.7 (+21.3) 33%
Baseline Plus ML UTAH -5.9 (+17.9) 142.4 (+21.6) 32%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 8, 2024 ORST 9285 UTAH
Jan 19, 2024 UTAH 7447 ORST
Jan 27, 2023 UTAH 6344 ORST
Jan 6, 2023 UTAH 7960 ORST
Feb 4, 2022 UTAH 8459 ORST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ORST UTAH
Overall 3-28 11-20
Conference 1-19 4-16
Home 3-13 7-9
Away 0-12 2-9
Neutral 0-3 2-2
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Streak L18 L4
Avg Pts For 68.3 69.7
Avg Pts Against 78.1 70.9
Massey -2.3 (#215) 7.3 (#71)
Bradley-Terry -1.62 (#302) 1.09 (#92)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.51 (#270) 1.35 (#93)
RPI 0.456 (#256) 0.596 (#39)
Shooting & Four Factors ORST UTAH
FG% 44.6% 42.9%
3PT% 30.4% 33.2%
REB / G 32.3 39.3
OREB / G 8.6 11.2
AST / TO 0.91 1.36
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.1% 49.4%
TOV% 18.9% 15.9%
ORB% 25.6% 30.9%
FT Rate 20.3% 25.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.2% 43.9%
Opp TOV% 18.8% 13.2%
DRB% 69.3% 71.3%
Opp FT Rate 19.9% 18.8%

Game Analysis

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