I got a baby's brain and an old man's heart "I'm Eighteen" - Alice Cooper
Oregon State Beavers
88 – 76
FINAL Conference
Utah Utes
Pac-12 Conference · Gill Coliseum · December 31, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread UTAH -3.0 Home covered
O/U 139.5 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total ORST win
Actual ORST +12 164 Won
Massey UTAH -5.1 (+17.1) — —
Massey Totals — 140.7 (+23.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 13% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 12% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UTAH -5.0 (+17.0) 140.0 (+24.0) 32% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML UTAH -5.7 (+17.7) 142.4 (+21.6) 29% ✗
Baseline ML UTAH -5.9 (+17.9) 142.7 (+21.3) 33% ✗
Baseline Plus ML UTAH -5.9 (+17.9) 142.4 (+21.6) 32% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 8, 2024 ORST 92 – 85 UTAH
Jan 19, 2024 UTAH 74 – 47 ORST
Jan 27, 2023 UTAH 63 – 44 ORST
Jan 6, 2023 UTAH 79 – 60 ORST
Feb 4, 2022 UTAH 84 – 59 ORST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ORST UTAH
Overall 3-28 11-20
Conference 1-19 4-16
Home 3-13 7-9
Away 0-12 2-9
Neutral 0-3 2-2
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Streak L18 L4
Avg Pts For 68.3 69.7
Avg Pts Against 78.1 70.9
Massey -2.3 (#215) 7.3 (#71)
Bradley-Terry -1.62 (#302) 1.09 (#92)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.51 (#270) 1.35 (#93)
RPI 0.456 (#256) 0.596 (#39)
Shooting & Four Factors ORST UTAH
FG% 44.6% 42.9%
3PT% 30.4% 33.2%
REB / G 32.3 39.3
OREB / G 8.6 11.2
AST / TO 0.91 1.36
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.1% 49.4%
TOV% 18.9% 15.9%
ORB% 25.6% 30.9%
FT Rate 20.3% 25.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.2% 43.9%
Opp TOV% 18.8% 13.2%
DRB% 69.3% 71.3%
Opp FT Rate 19.9% 18.8%

Game Analysis

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