Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -18.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | HOF -4000 HAMP +1900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +9 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | HOF -22.6 (-13.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.3 (+15.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -19.1 (-10.1) | 146.5 (+16.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -15.3 (-6.3) | 145.3 (+17.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -15.9 (-6.9) | 145.3 (+17.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -16.3 (-7.3) | 146.1 (+16.9) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | HOF 79 – 43 HAMP |
| Feb 15, 2025 | HAMP 67 – 49 HOF |
| Feb 9, 2024 | HOF 63 – 59 HAMP |
| Feb 17, 2023 | HOF 73 – 43 HAMP |
| Jan 6, 2023 | HOF 67 – 51 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 9-24 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 3-15 |
| Home | 11-2 | 5-9 |
| Away | 5-9 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 78.5 |
| Massey | 3.2 (#120) | -15.6 (#356) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#166) | -3.73 (#360) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.61 (#134) | -4.33 (#359) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#136) | 0.336 (#362) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 22.7% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 15.7% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
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