Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -17.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | HOF -1600 HAMP +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +30 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | HOF -20.8 (+9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.8 (-30.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -17.8 (+12.2) | 146.1 (-30.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -17.4 (+12.6) | 146.4 (-30.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -17.0 (+13.0) | 146.0 (-30.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -17.8 (+12.2) | 145.3 (-29.3) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | HOF 79 – 43 HAMP |
| Feb 15, 2025 | HAMP 67 – 49 HOF |
| Feb 9, 2024 | HOF 63 – 59 HAMP |
| Jan 19, 2024 | HOF 86 – 77 HAMP |
| Jan 6, 2023 | HOF 67 – 51 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 5-13 |
| Home | 11-2 | 7-6 |
| Away | 11-5 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.9 | 78.1 |
| Massey | 5.1 (#97) | -12.0 (#344) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.18 (#82) | -2.04 (#343) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.33 (#85) | -2.56 (#345) |
| RPI | 0.579 (#44) | 0.404 (#340) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.4% | 45.6% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 22.7% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 15.2% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.3% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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