Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | HAMP +115 HOF -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAMP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAMP +18 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | HAMP -0.4 (+17.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.6 (-11.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAMP -0.8 (+17.2) | 133.2 (-17.2) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -0.4 (+18.4) | 131.4 (-15.4) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAMP -1.2 (+16.8) | 131.9 (-15.9) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HAMP -0.6 (+17.4) | 132.5 (-16.5) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | HOF 79 – 43 HAMP |
| Feb 9, 2024 | HOF 63 – 59 HAMP |
| Jan 19, 2024 | HOF 86 – 77 HAMP |
| Feb 17, 2023 | HOF 73 – 43 HAMP |
| Jan 6, 2023 | HOF 67 – 51 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAMP | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 6-12 |
| Home | 10-4 | 6-7 |
| Away | 4-9 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 64.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 65.6 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#251) | -2.6 (#211) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#230) | -0.45 (#213) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.85 (#232) | -0.49 (#208) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#198) | 0.496 (#185) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAMP | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 23.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.0% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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