Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | HAMP +500 HOF -600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAMP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +4 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | HOF -12.4 (+8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.3 (-25.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -11.1 (+7.1) | 143.1 (-21.1) | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -12.6 (+8.6) | 143.9 (-21.9) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -11.2 (+7.2) | 141.4 (-19.4) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -10.4 (+6.4) | 142.2 (-20.2) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | HOF 79 – 43 HAMP |
| Feb 15, 2025 | HAMP 67 – 49 HOF |
| Jan 19, 2024 | HOF 86 – 77 HAMP |
| Feb 17, 2023 | HOF 73 – 43 HAMP |
| Jan 6, 2023 | HOF 67 – 51 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAMP | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-24 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 12-6 |
| Home | 5-9 | 11-2 |
| Away | 1-12 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 69.1 |
| Massey | -14.5 (#350) | 1.2 (#147) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.20 (#357) | 0.37 (#145) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.78 (#356) | 0.60 (#133) |
| RPI | 0.364 (#360) | 0.524 (#131) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAMP | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 16.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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