Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | HAMP +450 HOF -600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAMP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +16 | 118 | Lost |
| Massey | HOF -9.4 (-6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.8 (-36.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -8.7 (-7.3) | 152.4 (-34.4) | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -9.8 (-6.2) | 151.7 (-33.7) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -9.7 (-6.3) | 151.0 (-33.0) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -8.6 (-7.4) | 151.7 (-33.7) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | HOF 79 – 43 HAMP |
| Feb 15, 2025 | HAMP 67 – 49 HOF |
| Feb 9, 2024 | HOF 63 – 59 HAMP |
| Jan 19, 2024 | HOF 86 – 77 HAMP |
| Feb 17, 2023 | HOF 73 – 43 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAMP | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 16-2 |
| Home | 7-6 | 11-2 |
| Away | 1-13 | 11-5 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 66.9 |
| Massey | -11.6 (#346) | 2.0 (#138) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.95 (#328) | 0.75 (#109) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.51 (#329) | 1.06 (#100) |
| RPI | 0.424 (#308) | 0.575 (#63) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAMP | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.2% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 30.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 6.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.7% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 20.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 16.7% |
Game Analysis
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